Sunday, 13 September 2009

Postscript to Neptune to Pluto

Following the submission of my earlier posting I was reading some quotes and discovered the folllowing, apparently well known, one by Ludwig von Mises

"There is no means of avoiding the final collapse of a boom brought about by credit expansion. The alternative is only whether the crisis should come sooner as a result of a voluntary abandonment of further credit expansion, or later as a final and total catastrophe of the currency system involved."

It mirrors my conclusion that the recent stimulus will make no difference in the long run.

But what made me post it was a quick look at Mr Mises' birthchart. Born on 29 September 1881 he has a wide conjunction of Saturn, Neptune, Jupiter, Chiron and Pluto in Taurus. Not many people have one of those!! The "coincidence" has made me quite convinced that Mr Mises knew his credit booms and that I know my astrology.

From Neptune to Pluto: the direction of this runaway train


As readers will know, my focus is on predictive financial astrology. I am not against personal astrology but tend to leave it to others. As a result I rarely consult my own chart. However such a blinkered approach was likely to come unstuck and, sure enough, it did. So busy was I forecasting the dollar and Yen and the potential impact on them of the Neptune/ Jupiter /Chiron conjunction this year, that I failed miserably to identify what that conjunction would do to me.

Before you start playing the violins for me, however, I must point out that I have had an excellent few months. The only downside has been that I have been indulging myself far too much to get round to researching or writing any posts on this blog. Neptune square my Midheaven has resulted in severe procrastination in all career and business matters.

I am under no illusions now that this attitude will fully improve until the 2010; hell, if life is good why worry, but I am at least going to apologise for not posting since April and commit to at least some posts in the next months as the Pluto Saturn square bears down on us.

My next post will provide a more detailed review of the last 6 months, and will be followed by my attempt to complete forecasts for the remaining G20 countries that I have not yet investigated. However, I’d like to say something here about this year’s planetary aspects in general and to look at my general forecasts in the light of what has actually happened.

There have of course been two major factors at play, that Neptune conjunction and the ongoing Saturn/Uranus opposition.

First the Neptune conjunction. I posted about this twice- in my original introduction and early in 2009. In both I was uncertain of the outcome, initially I tended towards a currency crisis around May/June. In my early 2009 update I decided this was less likely. In the latter post, I also reviewed others’ views of the conjunction and noted that they were almost universally positive. Such optimism resulted in my post on hope. The fact is that Neptune and Jupiter do encourage hope and most people buy hope in a way that I don’t. A crisis clearly did not materialise. There is a severe problem but very few can see it. On reflection, Neptune/Jupiter is not generally inclined towards materialising anything harsh- what it has been doing is blinding and optimistically sowing the seeds (by "printing" money willy-nilly) of the future crises, which will no doubt accompany the cardinal cross.

However in case you think my forecasts are suspect, I refer you back to that original introduction where I anticipated “new diseases” and to the post earlier this year when I said “Jupiter and Neptune together are also characteristic of the combination such as the spread of peoples and other species including viruses etc through migration”. Swine flu duly obliged to prove my theory. I also noted the possibilities of cures too and there have been a number of encouraging studies/results on the cancer front during this time. I might (procrastination tendency permitting) return to look more closely at my non-financial predictions in another post.

Now let’s turn to Saturn-Uranus. For much of the last 6 months the opposition was merely operating at a large orb and hovering in the background. Now it is back with a vengeance (with protests in Washington for example).

But what does it mean? Many astrologers have blamed the opposition for the financial crisis. I still see the crisis as superficially Neptunian, but essentially due to the more serious Pluto crisis brought to the fore by Pluto moving into Capricorn.


Nevertheless it would be wrong to ignore the impact of Saturn/Uranus. What is the sky trying to tell us. Five oppositions? That is a lot. And a long period of tug-of-war between the two planets. I think the dark secret of this opposition is “Inflation vs Deflation”

By that I don’t mean that Saturn represents deflation and Uranus inflation. Indeed it is Neptune that represents inflation and increasing money supply in general and Pluto that shows the inclination to deep dark recessions. Saturn does indicate contraction, but Uranus does not indicate expansion, instead it indicates things moving to a new scenario, invention and the like.

No; what these two planets are representing is the policy debate and the tension that arises from the resulting actions.

The questions we asked last year were: Are we stuck with the Saturnian, recession or can we take radical, Uranian, action and create a miracle? Can we maintain stability by bailing out the weakling or must we embrace the true risks of capitalism by letting the lame ducks die?

The questions that have troubled investors since, at market level, are: do we assume that there will be deflation and assume that bonds are the safest option (the Saturn option) or do we assume that there will be high levels of inflation and make more radical and risky bets, equities, commodities, etc (the Uranus option).

As we can see the debate from last November still rages. There is a theory that we are in recovery – that the policies have worked - but the markets still show all sorts of nonsensical divergences. We look for signs of hyperinflation and see unemployment and low wage growth which must be signs of recession. We look for evidence of recession and see stock market rises and commodities rising yet again.

The fact is we are asking the wrong questions; old questions, questions for a crisis of the non-Neptunian kind. We treat the symptoms with Keynesian stimulants, the remedy for a Saturn/Jupiter cycle crisis. We still don’t get the background Pluto crises either. We still hold to the status quo when Pluto says “it is dead, get used to it”.

Where we have been going for the last few decades is towards an unsustainable situation, a true structural Pluto style crisis; Neptune merely enabled and obscured the fact. Deluded by Neptune, we have gradually and imperceptibly moved towards greater inequality. Thus pouring Neptunian measures into a Neptunian situation has potentially been catastrophic; now we are reaching the tipping point with the mass of people experiencing high unemployment or low wages together with increasing expenses, with a few who have scooped all the monetary gains immune from all but the threat of violence.

I admit I was in favour of less stimulus, but now I think it has made no difference, it has delayed some inevitables but brought others forward. But it doesn’t change the sum of those inevitables one iota. The majority of the damage had already been done by 2006. Neptune is now merely deceiving and delaying.

It is too late. The planets say so. The existing tension, policy debates and market anomalies, will continue to do so until mid 2010 when Uranus and Saturn make their final opposition. At that time they will have moved forward so that Pluto will have entered the mix: Pluto and Saturn are recessionary, at best. As my picture for this post, I’ve included a shot from the Jay-Z video “Run this town”- watch the the whole video, its visual theme, though not the lyrics, gives a good flavour of the feel approaching square. You better hope that Uranus/Jupiter pulls a rabbit out of hat next year or else and, even then, you better hope that rabbit isn’t wearing a revolutionary beret.

Tuesday, 21 April 2009

Hope, hype and happenstance:Part III


Introduction

Part III in my little departure from an increasingly rigid road of market prediction was inspired by a conversation I had at my office Christmas party, though I was reminded of it by the repeated correspondence of world events with my choice of country for analysis.

I am used to being challenged when I mention my involvement in astrology. Those that don’t laugh outright attempt to engage me in debate along the lines of “if you think it works, explain and prove how.” I usually refuse to rise to the bait; it works for me and I would rather just play the markets with it than lock myself up in dusty academia to research the mechanics.

However, now and again, I have doubts myself. Not doubts about the effectiveness of my predictions but over what exactly contributes to them And the potential conclusion of such musings is far more troublesome and scientifically disturbing than astrology itself could ever be.

These troublesome musings were thrown into sharper focus at the aforementioned Christmas dinner, when the colleage to my right did not show scepticism about my forecasts, but went straight for the jugular. “Did I think that my predictions were right because astrology worked or for some other reason?” I, expecting the usual doubting Thomas, responded that if he thought that I was solely using economic or business expertise, how did he account for the fact that some of my best predictions in 2008 were for Japan, a country which I have neither visited nor understand politically or economically. His response? He did not mean economic expertise, he meant something akin to psychic powers!

Psychic powers? You are joking right....?
Now, setting aside that there is no single, conclusive definition of what psychic powers comprise, let’s run with the idea. I have noticed, myself, when reviewing my forecasts in retrospect, after they have been realised, that I am sometimes at a loss to easily explain how I formed a judgement regarding a particular date. Although hindsight should be clearer, sometimes it isn’t…..

In order to recreate the forecast I have to recreate the process of getting there, not to just look at the date in question. When analysing a chart over a period, it is not a series of discrete events but a story that evolves and grows as I move forward in time. Themes emerge month-on-month in a way they can’t if I just look a specific date in isolation. Now this might be because that is how astrology is supposed to work: but it might not.

In order to conduct an analysis over a long period, I need to focus on a chart and its transits for some hours. Normally during that process I am uninterrupted and reach a level of concentration that I don’t in other matters (certainly not in my excessively dull day job). Essentially, it is a form of meditation. The question then is, under the meditative state, am I able to channel information not available to the normal conscious mind?

And of course if I can do so, presumably so can others. Even allowing for the fact that the ability to express and interpret such “universal information” might benefit from a reasonable level of financial knowledge, the fact remains that channelling information about the future from the universe is not accepted as scientifically possible. Clearly a can of worms has been opened. That will be $1m, thanks very much, Mr Randi.

I think, therefore you aren't
However, if you find that disconcerting, the explanation could be even worse. I’ve poked around in this particular worm can before. A few years ago, an astrologer friend and I pondered the subject of myriad astrological techniques and the existence of so many predictive and religious belief systems. It seemed to us that, for the believer, the chosen system always works. But the logical conclusion of this is that the world becomes exactly what we believe it will. Now I am aware that this is the premise behind the literature relating to the so called “law of attraction.” But that does not take things to their final conclusion…... namely, that our whole world is the creation of our minds and nothing but that mind exists.

In such a scenario, astrology only exists in my mind, and in my mind it works. And similarly astrology’s detractors are all products of my mind. As are you, my reader. Explanation, simple: upshot, terrifying.

Obviously the much vaunted law of attraction becomes irrelevant under the above scenario. If nothing exists, who cares? There is nothing to attract. And whether astrology exists, well, who cares? There is no solar system or universe. And whether the Dow will rise or fall in 2009, who cares? There is no Dow. And whether you are reading this, who cares? No-one cares, you aren’t, you don’t exist…….

But supposing you did, wouldn’t you be beginning to see that astrology is a much lesser evil?! So having peaked under the lid, I prefer to leave the worms in the can and carry on with the astrology.

Hope, hype and happenstance: Part II




Disclaimer
Ok . I didn't ask for permission to republish this cartoon, but I reckon I am giving it the best possible publicity here and the getting your message out there, as we shall see, seems to be all that matters.

Introduction

The primary purpose of my blog is prediction. From time to time I also include short discussions to further the understanding of the art of forecasting. Occasionally I indulge myself by taking a diversion into something such as how the broader planetary cycles manifest in other areas such as music. I don’t, however, usually devote space to my personal opinions on economic or political policy. This post represents a dramatic departure. It is not about astrology, nor is it about prediction; it is purely and simply about economic policy and hype.

One might think that hype and economics would be poles apart: one a function of psychological manipulation, the other of mathematics. But hype doesn’t automatically work. It won’t work if the evidence completely contradicts it. And it works best if there is a smattering of “scientific proof” (better known as misleading statistics) to convince. It works best of all when its proponents also fall for their own snake oil; when they read about each other’s statistical models and become as totally convinced of their own righteousness as American evangelical preachers.

Bubbles we have lived and loved
Remember the late 1990s? Remember the dotcom boom? If you weren’t such a victim of that particular bubble that you have conveniently blocked all trace of it from memory, you will recall how every newspaper and TV channel was full of the “new paradigm” that guaranteed infinite wealth for those brave enough to invest in a web-holding page with a fancy brand name and nothing else, and that the Dow would soon be at 36,000 on the back of the fact that profit was no longer an essential quality of a successful business. Sceptics were mocked as dinosaurs. No wonder so much of that particular hype was sustained even after the markets had peaked.

Profit eventually regained its role as the primary goal of any business model but soon we were hearing that it was property that could only ever go up. Economists, academics and consultants jumped on the latest (fee generating) hype bandwagon telling us how the UK population was rising, and that this would lead to limitless demand for houses (but see note 1). Other vested interests chipped in, to explain how gearing up on your property investments would make you as wealthy as an x-factor judge in your old age. And, if you had more money than you could possibly ever need to gear up your property investments, not to worry; you could gear up your private equity investments as well.

Whilst developers, property services companies and private equity groups have been shrinking like Alice after following the “drink me” instructions, many members of the public are still coming to terms with the fact that they were victims of this particular hype.

They are also only just coming to terms with the fact that “buying and holding” equities hasn’t quite materialised as the brilliant investment strategy that proponents suggested over the last 20 years.

That is all very well, you say, but these were all driven by market vested interests, the same situation can’t happen in the whole economy? There we have economic theory to underpin our actions. Hype won’t work if we have a truly solid foundation, right? Right! But, wrong! We don’t have anything like a solid foundation.

Economic theory is useless
As professor Willem Buiter pointed out in his FT blog of 3rd March 2009, (ages ago but actually at the time I wrote most of this- note 2) most economic theory is useless. The trouble is not that the mathematical models of economics fail in themselves; they are mathematically perfect and quite beautiful in their own way. But, as Buiter describes, they assume states which are for all intents and purposes practically irrelevant.

In this case the PhD mathematicians were so busy differentiating to the nth degree that they didn’t do the simple arithmetic. If they had they would have realised that at the rate per annum at which the hedge funds and traders were accumulating wealth, the whole GDP of the world would be in a few hands in less than 2 decades. So, unless you are a philosopher who believes that having got all the angels in existence onto your pinhead you don’t have a problem populating the other end of your pin, you logically have a practical problem.

And if you think that hype just restricts itself to market participants, you are destined to be disappointed and you probably haven’t noticed that the so called government is run by communications consultants. Simply, the leaders didn’t know, the traders didn’t care, and the spinners didn’t know or care as long as they got paid.

If you are a UK resident, you will recall the Gordon Brown promise of “no more boom and bust.” We’ve run an economy to ruin over the last decade on the basis of that little hype gem. Even just two years ago in March 2007, I sat in a financial services seminar while an “expert” showed us a series of graphs which “demonstrated how successful” the UK economy had been over the previous ten years. The room was full of representatives from the financial services industry, but no-one challenged a single premise on which this presentation was based. I sat there shaking my head in disbelief, but even I didn’t ask the 64 trillion dollar question “what element of that so called growth disappears when you strip out the effect of credit growth?” (Even Cassandra can be afraid to challenge the hype when representing her employer rather than herself).

But the UK in the 2000s was only a microcosm. The economic theory that underpinned the above bit of hype was only an extension of the prevailing theory about free and efficient markets and growth that has dominated US policy for the last 5 decades.

But you are probably asking “Now we recognise the hype of the last decades for what it was, why is there still a problem?” The problem is that, we are still buying into that hype and now we are the naïve recipients of its extension which is, at least, as dangerous as anything we have encountered before.

What is that is being hyped now? Keynesian solutions.

Keynes: another time another place, please
This is not a critique of Keynesian or New-Keynesian theory. Nothing wrong with these in their place; I can see (without a single mathematical model) the sense in what are essentially counter-cyclical government policies. Under conditions where the private sector has failed to allocate sufficient resources, no harm at all in a bit of public sector stimulation, a few periods of low interest rates etc. And of course that’s why the hype is working – because the theories are mathematically logical and perfectly justifiable under the right conditions.

The problem is this is most definitely not the time and place for stimulation. In my view the current situation is the opposite of the one Keynes envisaged.

For the last two or three decades, increasing cheap credit led the private sector to allocate too many resources to… well pretty much everything really. The US called this growth and attributed it to their economic superiority (and indirectly to the superiority of the prevailing economic models). The time for intervention was then, although the intervention required would have been the opposite of stimulation. Now, the credit drug fuelled party is ended we might have had a chance to get a much more sustainable allocation of private sector resources. Sadly that has not happened.

Instead, we are getting more and still more stimulation, all based on the principle that Keynesian economics is the right medicine for the condition.

There are a lot of lay people, not yet been exposed to the full onslaught of the hype, who are still saying, “how can these type of solutions help a situation where there is already so much debt?” No doubt all but the “criminally insane” among them will soon capitulate under the tidal wave of expert en-masse advocating the same solutions. How can the average lay person resist when even the professionals are in concord?

Do I have a better solution? Or, more to the point, as the spinners will ask “do I have a KISS solution they can sell to the masses? The answer is no. I can’t pick up the milk and put it back in the broken bottle anymore than the next person. But I am wise enough not to spill another bottle in order to hide the mess from the first. Until time travel becomes a reality, it is too late for solutions to problems that arose in the past.

Hope or happenstance: where we are going now
Buiter ended his blog entry with “I believe that the Bank has by now shed the conventional wisdom of the typical macroeconomics training of the past few decades. In its place is an intellectual potpourri of factoids, partial theories, empirical regulaties without firm theoretical foundations, hunches, intuitions and half-developed insights. It is not much, but knowing that you know nothing is the beginning of wisdom”. In any case it looks like the milk is mainly frozen in the bottle and is not spilling out as planned. That can only be a godo thing for the future. We can hope, but as we saw in Part i hope isn’t all its cracked up to be either.
Of course, it is also too late for me to be writing this. It is always too late when so many decades of spin have obscured reality to such an extent. So now the consequences will unravel as destiny decrees that they will. And that is where astrology comes into its own. For my views of that, see part three of this little series – happenstance.


Notes

1) though they failed to point out that population was not growing as fast as in the first half of the 20th century ( 38m to 50m from 1900 to 1950 (30% increase) and 50m to 60m from 1950-2000 (20% increase)) or that almost all the growth from 1965 to 2005 was in the over 60 age group ( hardly first time buyers), or that the late 80s house price increase was actually a lag effect of the 1970-80s inflation.

2)Yes, I got distracted by other matters. But no matter as you see the intervening weeks have been relatively uneventful.

3) I am not here questioning the bail out of certain elements of the financial system: unlimited for private and non-financial corporate depositors. Such action would be required to stabilise the whole system. Only the bail out of the whole failed structures.

Sources
Willem Buiter's Maverecon blog, Financial Times, March 3, 2009

Hope, hype and happenstance: Part 1


Introduction
I’m afraid this blog has been a little quiet of late. I didn’t intend it, indeed I had this series of 3 posts almost ready 5 weeks ago, but other distractions took over and suddenly here we are, weeks later.

I thought another break from the run of mechanical analyses was in order. So what follows are three non-astrological posts, dealing with facets of prediction in general. The third post will look specifically at the validity of astrology, the second with how hype and spin blind people to the real forecasters out there. This one, however, looks at negativity in forecasts and how this is received; basically why spin falls on such receptive ears.

In my weeks off we haven’t missed much market wise. As expected the turn came on 10/11th March and things have been relatively stable/almost positive since. However I wonder if perhaps this optimism is a little misplaced. But I bet most readers will be embracing the promises of green shoots. Maybe they only want good news? Is the turn on 2Oth April more realistic- you'll have to wait for later posts for that now let's get on with looking at the optimists.

On December 29 2008John Kay wrote in the FT:
Although people endlessly ask for predictions, they rarely really want the answers. It was only late – too late – in life that I realised that when people said, “We really want you to challenge our ideas,” they mostly did not. They wanted instead to be congratulated on their wisdom. Similarly, when they ask, “What is going to happen?” they seek reaffirmation and reassurance rather than insight into the future.


This is certainly true. People do indeed want reaffirmation. (I’ve duly just obliged). Yet I think that there is another factor at work. Mr Kay continues:
The market for clairvoyance has existed through history and is satisfied by messages based on hope and ambiguity. The market for economic prediction is similar.


The essence of this statement is that Mr Kay is saying that some predictions are accepted not just because they confirm what people believe but because those predictions confirm what people want to believe.

On being Cassandra

I recently published a forecast for Argentina which was generally positive. That forecast might, of course, prove to be completely wrong. The point is not the outcome, rather that the prediction is relatively upbeat; to date, optimism has been rare in my posts. Indeed one of the first criticisms I received on this blog related to the negativity of my forecasts. If I had been quoted at all in the mainstream media, I would have been deemed an economic Cassandra.

Now, as it happens, my negative outlook has been more than realized in practice, which got me wondering………… Like the Cassandra of mythology, unfortunately, I was not wrong. Yet, even if I had a higher profile, my forecasts probably wouldn’t have been quoted in the mainstream media. Had my forecasts been rather more rose tinted, however, I hazard a guess that I would have been deemed an “expert” with the forecasts seized on and repeated ad-infinitum.

Why, then, is there such an asymmetry in the public acceptance of positive and negative data? Why is it that upbeat predictions are seized on without question yet predictions of failure lead to unpopularity, or worse, invisibility?

This asymmetry or bias is endemic, not just in market forecasting, but in business as a whole.

“Give me solutions not problems” is the response of the ostrich like manager across the globe when confronted with anything other than positive news. Superficially that even sounds rational; but when the problem presented and denied represents a fundamental market change and indicates a need to review strategy from the top. Denying it dooms the business.

The denial of potential bad news is entrenched in day-to-day life too, though the fact is often obscured by actual real time news which is unfortunately impossible to deny so easily.

Interestingly the level of denial is so overarching that even the literal experience of Cassandra herself is denied by writers and psychologists. At best the archetype is described as “someone whose prophetic insight is obscured by insanity, turning their revelations into riddles or disjointed statements that are not fully comprehended until after the fact”.(wikipedia) At worst Cassandra’s visions are ignored and instead her experience used as a metaphor for the disbelieved victim of abuse or the oppression of women’s ideas.

This denial in modern references of the fact that Cassandra is simply supposed to have been able to forsee disasters is both facinating and unnerving. The need to deny, to such an extent, that the path that is being followed could be anything other than the yellow brick road leading to the great wizard suggests that there is some fundamental human characteristic at work.

What’s left in Pandora’s box?


I think the answer lies in the quote from John Kay, the little word hope. Not Cassandra’s domain but Pandora’s.

Arguably hope is a brilliant genetic mutation, which evolved giving early man the will/hormonal stimulus for long enough to keep going against all odds. A lack of hope in a primitive environment would mean capitulation too early and almost certain death. Imagine one is lost in the desert, hope keeps one going that few extra steps. And even in the last throes of death, hope is perhaps anaesthetic in its effects, a protection. Hope can therefore be a good thing and still is in many tragic circumstances. Without it most of us would be registering with Dignitas at age 22. And yet…

…..Remember that when Pandora released all the evils from the box, only hope remained? Anything that is at home with a box full of evil isn’t likely to be a cuddly toy itself. So let’s look a bit closer.

Hope triggers (is?) hormones, chemicals: a drug. Like anaesthesia, it numbs us to the reality of the increasing pain, it encourages us to stagger on, oblivious to the impending doom that bears down on us. But in the modern economic world hope bestows disadvantages as well as advantages. We have to hope because it helps soldier on by denying the agony of our limited prospects. But we do not have the possibility of overcoming the threat; but the threat is unending, we cannot walk away from the system that enslaves us even when it is killing us, so we become hope addicts instead.

Hope also encourages us to believe, against all evidence to the contrary, that we can win the lottery, back the winning horse, beat the market, or attain wealth and glory as a result of the latest get-rich-quick gimmick. Unfortunately, on a national scale, it also allows us to refuse to accept the fact that we can’t grow our GDP infinitely, that our booms can’t go on forever.

The problem of economic cycles must thus be unavoidable. Not because of some invisible market force, but because we are almost all programmed to hope for the best until the moment of annihilation.

Hope is the last evil in the box, because in the modern financial environment, the motivation to keep going actually propels us onward down a path of destruction instead of encouraging us to acknowledge defeat and branch out elsewhere.
Furthermore, when presented with information to make decisions, we chose to ignore the negative options and embrace the more attractive possibilities, no matter how infinitely less likely they are.

Well, when I say we, I mean the majority. I don’t mean the typical Cassandra. The gift and curse of Cassandra is not the ability to foresee the future, but the ability to see today as it really is without the benefits of those dregs at the bottom of Pandora’s box. And, thus, to be denied by the hope addicts.

So where does that leave a financial astrologer such as myself? Off the hook for peddling doom maybe; the Cassandra label is misapplied if all the forecaster does is see today’s reality more clearly than the rest. But if all the forecaster sees is today’s reality where, if at all, does astrology have a place? I shall leave consideration of that question for the final of my three posts. With the knowledge that people are programmed to be susceptible to positive messages we turn next to the question of spin.

I have referred solely to hope in this post. Arguably in this context hope and faith could be interchangeable types of belief. However my view is that, although the two appear to overlap, faith is a fundamentally intellectual perspective, whereas hope is a biological compulsion.

Note:
Hope is much on people minds given Obama's election campaign. This post is not in any way reflecting on that campaign or administration. It seeks only to discuss behaviour in general

Reference
Financial Times :Kudos for the contrarian by John Kay Published: December 29 2008 18:48

Wednesday, 4 March 2009

Forecasting timing: how inner planets change the date



I often mention in my posts the fact that my forecasts are only supposed to be accurate to within three months as I am only considering outer planet movements and ignoring the inner planets. This week we have an excellent example of how inner planets trigger events earlier or later than the outer planet trends would otherwise suggest.

I keep harping on about the Neptune, Chiron Jupiter conjunction in May and usually refer to it being in operation from April to July. But this week, we are seeing some pretty dramatic meltdowns in the markets, which I might not have forecast for another couple of months. We’ve also seen another event characteristic of the conjunction, a whole lot of beached whales, many of whom died.

So why are these events taking place now and not in May?

If we look at the chart for Monday 2nd March 2009, we see all three planets in Aquarius, but they are still not close to conjunction. Neptune is at 24 degrees and Chiron at 22 degrees, but Jupiter is only at 13 degrees and still has two months to go until the configuration becomes exact.

However, the sector of the tropical zodiac we call Aquarius is busy at the moment. As of the 2nd Mars and Mercury were at 20 degrees, sufficiently close to Chiron and Neptune to have impact. But that is not the whole key to the puzzle. The key is in what traditional astrologers referred to as translation of light (or transfer of energies if you prefer). Mars made a conjunction with Jupiter on 17th February and Mercury did the same on 24th February. Then as they moved towards Neptune they effectively completed a conjunction between Jupiter and Neptune which would not otherwise take place until May.

By next Monday, 9th March, their work will be done and they will both be separating from Neptune. From then, the influence of Jupiter will reduce until the two planets meet in person, so to speak, or until the next translation; it is not only conjunctions that create the translation effect, but they are probably the strongest of the influences. Indeed the particularly string influence on 2nd was due to the Moon in Taurus adding its own translation energies to the mix.


You can see the effect ( excluding the moon) rather nicely on the following graph.


Saturday, 28 February 2009

Canada: 2009-2012


Canada seems to be unique from an art sense in that it has has a number of talented artists prepared to paint their home ground. This is a Lawren Stewart Harris’ painting Northern Island II. Unmistakeably Canadian in inspiration, yet original in interpretation.

But, despite my apparent enthusiam I won’t be moving there, as it is too damn cold. Like Iceland Canada has Neptune ascending – though in this case Saturn is quincunx rather than square the point: not quite as frozen then….Other notable configurations in the Canadian chart include a Saturn Pluto opposition, and a Uranus/Sun conjunction trine Jupiter and sextile Mars. The latter is a true pioneering configuration

Looking back to last year we would expect to see some of the same patterns as Australia, but not all. Australia has experienced a larger house price boom over recent years than Canada, and is perhaps even more dependent on hard rather than soft commodities.

The 1st August eclipse was trine the progressed Mars but because the Canadian Sun is at 8 degrees Cancer, the degree point was activated but no hard aspect was made as the eclipse tool place at 9 Leo. The 16th August eclipse was widely square the Sun Saturn progressed conjunction and MC. Indeed the separating Saturn Sun conjunction (square progressed Jupiter) itself is probably more significant than the eclipse, representing the end to some internal imbalances caused by the commodities boom in some territories. Canada also has an ongoing Saturn transit to the progressed Moon which starts in 2008 and continues until around 2020.

So while it cannot be said that Canada was unaffected by the events in the financial system in 2008, the impact was less dramatic in the short term.

Indeed the Uranus/Saturn opposition of November was sextile the nation’s Saturn, an indication of relative stability in an unstable environment.

2009
The eclipses of February don’t have much to add to those of last summer. February also experienced the beginning of an ongoing Pluto trine to the progressed Ascendant potentially signifying long term changes and strength and lasting throughout the first half of 2009.

March is characterised by a sextile from Jupiter to progressed Venus and to Neptune, this probably relates to the increase in liquidity in the system; it is difficult to see how Canada would not be affected by the US stimulus. Saturn sextile Saturn again keeps things sensibly and responsibility in check though. April sees Saturn trine Pluto, the second planet in the natal configuration, continuing the repetition of the themes of the latter part of 2008.

Then of course comes May through to July, as Jupiter Neptune and Chiron combine at 26 degrees Aquarius. This does affect the Canadian chart. The hints of problems that might have been brushed aside in September October 2008, after the eclipse was widely square the progressed Sun Saturn conjunction, are much more likely to come to the fore now as the Neptune configuration is exactly square this point. However at the same time it trines the Moon, Uranus in Pisces also makes contradictory aspects: trining the Sun/Saturn and squaring the Moon.

As we are expecting this configuration to play out at a currency level, we can expect the impact to be mixed in Canada.

We should also be aware that it is the beginning of a trend that will not disappear until late 2012. Neptune will move in tandem with the progressed Sun for 4 years and lead to a sense of inertia as events will not indicate the best direction to take for some time. It may well be severely recessionary, particularly from time to time as it is further activated by Saturn. This will, as we shall see, have a downside, when there are development opportunities to be grasped.

While there is little new information from June to August, the Saturn Uranus mundane opposition repeats in September, by now widely sextile the country’s progressed Saturn. Again the country is saved from the worst of the instability, but is not untouched. In October Saturn sextiles the progressed Sun/Saturn conjunction and trines the progressed MC, but square the Moon. Probably not a nice time for the people as a whole but not a bad time for the government, and Canada’s reputation as a relatively safe country.

The Neptune conjunction repeats in late 2009/early 2010, but the exact conjunction is further away from the critical degrees in Canada’s chart and it can remain a little more detached than in May.

2010
In January we see Pluto repeating its trine to the progressed Ascendant, repeating the pattern of gradual change, but Jupiter completes its square to progressed Saturn and Sun this time and then trines progressed Jupiter and the Moon. This suggests advancement from the picture in 2009 to a new situation. The country should beware of over-complacency at this time though as Neptune still lurks in the background and Pluto is moving forward to make some very dramatic and (if Pluto gets its way) not wholly pleasant conjunctions in the coming two years.

In February Neptune repeats its square to the progressed Sun, and Uranus opposes the progressed Moon. Uranus in opposition to the Moon tends to represent some sort of protest by people – in this case short lived. Possibly currency issues or confusion and deception by government might stimulate such action.

By March Jupiter conjoins the country’s natal Jupiter and squares the progressed Mars and Venus and trines the country’s original Uranus/Sun conjunction. It must be remembered though that, whilst this is a highly positive and exuberant aspect , Jupiter only takes 12 years to complete a cycle and makes positive aspects every couple of years; it is a time to seize that pioneering spirit a little more than average, but by itself not a major trend signifier.

In April the progressed Moon is sextile progressed Saturn, which only continues the stability indicated by Saturn in the previous months. Jupiter square Venus carries the positive mood of March through for another month or so. Pluto now reaches a trine with Mars (remember that natal Mars makes aspects to the Sun and Uranus as well as Jupiter, so this is the beginning of a much more interesting phase), possibly leading to a discovery of new invention or new reserves of something. Uranus trines Saturn and the progressed MC, also indicating positive surprises. Neptune is once again conjoining Jupiter and trine the Moon: there is still a lot of liquidity in the system, which is not really helping concrete decision making, it is easing some otherwise difficult situations.

By May Uranus again reaches a sextile with the progressed Sun and is square the Moon; once more a mixed bag where the government are favoured but the people are not. The progressed Moon sextiles the progressed Sun over this and the next months drawing out the issues for a longer period.

Of course this is only a run up to the cardinal cross of summer 2010. By June, Uranus and Jupiter trine progressed Mercury, another good sign for technical advances. Athough Jupiter makes a tricky quincunx to the progressed Ascendant in July, this is probably only again the impact of news about events elsewhere upsetting things a little.

The actual cross in August sees the progressed Moon most impacted. Uranus and Jupiter oppose the progressed Moon , and Pluto squares it. And we already know that we are encountering a long cycle of Saturn conjoining the progressed Moon. My interpretation of this is that Canadians will not be able to remain detached from events elsewhere at this time and will be caught up in economic and political events that create some radical changes in the country. The other planet affected, is progressed Mercury but much more favourably, so in terms of trade, information and communication the indicators are all positive for the country.

Whether as a result of events of July/August, or as a response to the broader trends of the preceding year, September sees Neptune square the country’s progressed Saturn. There is, thus, a repetition of some matters that were the focus in 2006, when Neptune was square the natal Saturn; house price issues and other recessionary matters have resurfaced. These themes continue for the remainder of the year.

In October the Jupiter/Uranus conjunction is retrograde and again trines the progressed Sun/Saturn. This extremely positive force for invention and change would, to some extent, offset any negativity created by the Neptune square. However, at the same time, Saturn will square the country’s Uranus/Sun conjunction. Here we see challenges. Jupiter and Uranus are encouraging dramatic and groundbreaking change in industry, but the natural Canadian pioneering spirit is being held too much in check by regulation and by a need to conform to broader expectations of a developed nation.

Not surprising then, that by November we get Neptune square Saturn accompanied by Saturn opposing Neptune: one of those double whammy’s that can indicate severe recession, and here is likely to reflect inertia as the impetus for change is crushed by less visionary forces as well as possibly currency restrictions.

December sees more of the same, a real conflict between change and restriction leading to nothing more than hording cash and not investing in the future.

2011
One of the broader themes in the Canadian chart at this time is the progression of the Ascendant to a conjunction with the country’s Mars. Canada has a real chance to become a leader in change in the world at this time.

The Jupiter/Uranus change impetus continues into the early part of 2011. However Saturn now reaches a conjunction with the natal Descendant. Relations with partners such as the US are under duress, perhaps some channels are shut altogether (maybe US protectionism in play?). But Canada has unusual strength at this time: Pluto is not only in trine to the progressed Ascendant but also now to Mars as well. That is some power.

February sees Jupiter square the Uranus/Sun conjunction and this is probably stronger than any of the restrictive Saturn forces at play – invention/creation and change will come to the fore- perhaps with an impetus for change of leadership or at least new policies ( Uranus is still trine the progressed Sun). In March the progressed Moon reinforces this. Jupiter also is trine the Canadian progressed Mars by the end of the month, further ratcheting up the energy levels.

Neptune is now conjoining progressed Jupiter, more signs of inflationary liquidity, and still squaring the progressed Saturn/Sun conjunction (now joined by progressed Mercury). There is still a real problem with the issue of credit and asset values part of an ongoing recessionary background. But this almost seems like a distraction from what else seems to be happening.

Jupiter crosses the Canadian Ascendant in April representing a key turning point. Saturn stationed opposite Neptune trine Venus and sextile progressed Venus is still creating restrictions on investment preventing the development of new ideas, but accompanied by a sense of being in a comfort zone that is rather attractive at least in the short term.

By June there is a slight weaking in the inertia effects of Neptune ( though this is short lived still), and Uranus trines Mercury and Saturn sextiles the progressed Mars. Together a chance to harness plans for change. The repeated impetus of the Pluto trine is by June/July emphasised by Jupiter completing a grand trine from its position in Taurus. Whilst I can’t for one minute think that Canada will be at war, it is instructive to explain that no-one would really want to take on a country with this combination of strengths. It is an extremely powerful combination and can only be good for the country in question. In this case one assumes that it is economically positive.

Jupiter’s sextile to the Sun/Uranus conjunction in August is almost a postscript in comparison, nevertheless it is equally positive.

However we still haven’t got rid of the nuisance that is Neptune. In August it repeats its conjunction with Jupiter and corresponding square to the progressed Sun. Still lacking in any concrete substance, and with Saturn opposes Neptune again, keeping everyone in a state of inertia at best.

Finally in September/October, Saturn returns to the Descendant and in October it is joined there by the progressed Moon. While this does reinforce the restrictions created by partners, there is something to be said for it : now we can move forward with some degree of certainty.

Jupiter repeating its trine to Mars and the progressed Ascendant in November will probably see the country doing just that.

Of course we can’t escape so easily from the tentacles of Neptune’s mists. And it is still hanging around its square to the progressed Mercury/Sun/Saturn conjunction at the end of the year. Canada isn’t out of the woods yet, there are still some bears to be contended with.

2012
Indeed Neptune continues to cast its fog over the direction and leadership of the country all year, as it is never far from being in square to the progressed Sun.

Yet we can expect some shifts in 2012. Saturn has finally moved on from its opposition to the Canadian Neptune, even if Neptune hasn’t completely left the country’s progressed Saturn. So at least we don’t have a double whammy any more.

Saturn is actually trine the progressed Jupiter at this time, it is also trine the Moon, suggesting again that certainty that we mentioned occurring in October. Not ground breaking but at least constructive.

However February brings further shifts that aren’t so positive. Pluto is moving on from its trine to Mars and is now on the country’s MC and opposing the Sun/Uranus conjunction. That is really quite an extraordinary configuration. I would expect a change of government and even a change of constitution of the country with that sort of planetary force at play. Either that or world domination. In March, Jupiter sextiles the Uranus Sun conjunction ramping up the force for change.

April sees more tricky conditions with Uranus quincunx the progressed Ascendant/Mars configuration, which will lead to disruptions. Coupled with Jupiter transiting Pluto at the same time there may be some power struggles. In June, Jupiter activates the T-square between the progressed Sun, Jupiter and Mars, suggesting that things are not quite so quickly resolved and that there are ongoing disputes.

By August Uranus is square the Sun/Uranus conjunction and MC. Remember that Pluto is already aspecting these points. Canada’s key configuration, like so many in the world, picks up the global Pluto Uranus square.

In September Jupiter conjoins Venus and opposes progressed Venus. This is a financially positive influence and given the significance of the other aspects in play probably will merely make the situation a little more palatable.

Saturn, still obviously in aspect to the progressed Moon, makes a trine with the Canadian progressed Jupiter in the last few months, which might continue some of the positive influence and allow changes to be integrated.

The year ends with the mundane trine between Pluto and Saturn picking up the Uranus Sun conjunction again. Since Canada was founded on a Pluto Saturn opposition, it is able to use this combination well, and it should be good for its commodities industries as well as for other business transformation.

We are also finally seeing the end of the Neptune aspects but have to wait to see whether this allows the country to move forward or whether it will become bogged down by other factors in 2013.


Chart Sources
Confederation
1 July 1867, Ottawa, 0.00am Source N Campion, Book of world horoscopes

I do have a query over the time for this chart. But it is not the same query that other astrologers have. Legally the decree for the creation was determined in London and the date specified in London. No time appears to have been specified in the document. Surely from a UK legal point of view then the change occurred at midnight London time? But midnight London time is 5 hours ahead of Ottawa. Canada’s view seems to be that midnight Ottawa time was the time of the change. As Canadian astrologers seem to be happy with their local time, I have gone with that, but a doubt remains.

This chart really only represents the combining of a few states of Canada. There is an argument for using the chart for the final and current version of the confederation. But on that basis we could be choosing a chart for the US when Hawaii joined. Creation of the sense of a national identity may in some instances be as key as the delineation of the borders- the fact that later on others wish to join up to such an identity does not alter the moment of its creation.

As in Australia, the decree creating the Canadian nation also authorises power over the currency. Again I have taken the chart to be representative of both.

Friday, 27 February 2009

Australia: 2009-2012

The chosen art for my Australian posting is architectural, and needs no introduction, so we’ll go straight to the analysis.

The chart for Australia is characterised by three configurations: a Jupiter, Mercury conjunction opposite Neptune, a Uranus conjunction with Venus opposite Pluto and a Sun conjunct Saturn, Moon, Mars grand trine.

Looking back over 2008, we see that the summer eclipses picked up parts of these major configurations. The August 1 St eclipse was opposite the progressed Ascendant sextile Venus and quincunx Saturn/Sun. The 16th August eclipse conjoined progressed Mars and trined Jupiter and progressed Venus. The former probably represents the shift in commodity prices for the second half of the year and the latter the impact on the Australian dollar.

The Uranus Saturn opposition of November was square the Australian Pluto Uranus opposition further focusing on the commodities issue.

Similar themes continue throughout the next 4 years. The overall trends are not as bad as some countries we have looked at but nor are they are positive as some.

2009
The January 2009 eclipses reflected that of August but with the added stimulus of progressed Moon conjoining progressed Venus.

The country however was closely in focus following the bush fires as a major conjunction involving the sun/Mars and Jupiter occurred on the progressed Ascendant.

Neptune is now opposing progressed Mars which suggests trade weakness at the best of times.

April sees Saturn activate the Uranus/Pluto opposition again, although the trine to progressed Saturn should afford some protection. It also sees Jupiter reactivate the Neptune opposition to progressed Mars, something further complicated by Uranus in quincunx.

May through to July sees the Neptune/Jupiter/Chiron conjunction picks up the Jupiter/Neptune Mercury configuration – unsurprisingly, given what we have seen elsewhere, it is likely to have impact on the currency. Uranus in square to those planets suggests shocks (external?), though the trine from Neptune suggests that monetary inflation absorbs the brunt of events.

By July, Saturn is making its final square to Pluto and Uranus and it may be possible that some of the commodity price falls of the last year are slightly mitigated and Australia is able to benefit a little from this in the medium term.

From August to October, Saturn squares the chart’s Neptune and Jupiter– and quincunxes the progressed Sun Venus conjunction. The upshot of that is much less monetary freedom and likely currency falls and recessionary conditions.

Little more happens until near the end of 2009/early 2010, although the progressed Moon in trine to Saturn moderates matters in the last months.

2010
December 2009 and January 2010 are characterised by a return to the Jupiter/Neptune opposition to progressed Mars and more currency growth. Jupiter though then trines the progressed Sun and MC and sextiles Jupiter. This looks overwhelmingly positive for the economy and its leadership.

In February, Neptune sextiles the progressed Venus and Jupiter while Uranus creates a square to Jupiter. There is likely to be a slightly misplaced sense of economic comfort around this time – perhaps post Australian holidays everyone is just in a good mood? A minor progressed Moon aspect to the Moon in March is also basically positive.

By April Neptune is trine Neptune and this continues the excess currency inflation. The theme continues for a few months and is likely to be accompanied by some shocks, as indicated by the squares of Uranus to Uranus and Mercury and the repeated Saturn square Neptune recessionary indicator. Clearly, together this indicates a lot of uncertainly and little long term planning evolution in the economy.

However it is worth noting that although there may be a sense of being buffeted slightly, or a sense of inertia arising from not knowing how to respond to events elsewhere, the country appears to completely miss out of the excitement of July August 2010 and the peak of the cardinal cross. This can surely only be a good thing.

The country has no planets at or near zero degrees of the cardinal signs and other than a continuation of the themes of May to July, which run right through to Neptune trine Neptune in September, there is unlikely to be any radical action in August.

It is worth noting that using an alternative chart for Australia gives more or less the same result: well the country is far away and perhaps sheltered a little from events even in a global economy.
However, as we will see in 2011, the seeds are being sown at this time that will lead to the need for radical restructuring later.

In October and November the Uranus/Jupiter conjunction does square Jupiter and Neptune and this is likely to be the biggest challenge that the Australian dollar sees in terms of valuation changes vs. the rest of the world. Of course the downside of revaluations is the impact on the economy and the leadership- with Saturn now square the Sun Saturn conjunction and MC, chances are that there will be a lot of hardship for the country and budgetary challenges for the government.

By December the situation becomes more concrete as Saturn crosses the Ascendant. This suggests even tougher times and currency depreciation.

2011
January 2011 sees Saturn station on the Ascendant and square to the progressed Saturn– so major focus on the difficulties of the country at this time – droughts are, incidentally, also likely.

Saturn is also trine Pluto and sextile Uranus suggesting some stabilisation of commodity activity and the change to plan for rebuilding some sectors that are in the doldrums.

March sees Jupiter square the MC and Sun/Saturn, normally this might indicate some exuberance, but in this case it is more likely to just reactivate the Saturn aspect and broaden its reach. There is a suggestion of some sort of turning point in April when Jupiter crosses the Descendant and also picks up the Uranus/Pluto opposition. Potentially this could be a time when new developments can take off.

Another interesting factor to note is that the Australian progressed Sun moves into Taurus now, after 30 years in Aries. This represents a long term change of emphasis from driven economic development to accumulation and security. There may be less immigration, too, from now on.

May sees Jupiter reach its conjunction with progressed Venus, which is also associated with accumulation and conservation of wealth. It is accompanied though by a Pluto conjunction with Saturn. The tentacles of this conjunction will have been felt for some while – but now it begins to perfect. It is the restructuring aspect par-excellence and there is no getting away from it. Whole industries will have to be re-evaluated, but the country still seems to be somewhat in denial as Jupiter and Venus does not suggest poverty and hardship on a large scale.

The fact is, that everything in the garden could look rosy in the next couple of months as Jupiter conjoins the progressed Sun /Venus conjunction. But this should probably be viewed with a healthy dose of scepticism. Pluto is not a force to go partying with. And anyway Saturn is again squaring the Sun and MC. Not great for government or country. There do seem to be conflicting factors at work here.

The summer is also rather misleading, with Jupiter trine the Saturn/Sun conjunction one would expect stability, and even when accompanied by Saturn square Jupiter we wouldn’t really have too much to worry about. But October sees another critical point where there is a change of direction. Jupiter squares the progressed Ascendant, and restrictive Saturn finally returns to the natal Ascendant, ushering in a time of real change.

By December, Saturn trines the Neptune Jupiter opposition, which probably brings currency stability at least, but not necessarily economy wellbeing. Jupiter briefly stations on the Australian progressed Sun this month which further suggests a positive situation albeit short term.

Unfortunately we still have Pluto creeping up again in the background, bringing the need for deep seated changes as it approaches its conjunction with the country’s Saturn.

2012
Australia’s Saturn opposes progressed Venus by January and stations close to the progressed Sun, so that the first half of the year is characterised by the restriction that accompanies a Saturn opposition. The fact that Pluto is aspecting the country’s natal Saturn at the same time is likely to cause a knock on effect. The comfort and wealth associated with the Sun Venus progression is really now challenged and reassessed.

More seriously by March and April, Pluto reaches the IC and the Sun. This is the first time that Pluto has transited the Australian IC since the country’s legal formation. Issues relating to the whole foundation of the country and its economic sustainability are likely to manifest over the coming year or so.

However at the moment Jupiter in trine to the IC/Sun conjunction is creating a helping hand- there is deep reassessment but it is accompanied with opportunity for growth. The trine of Saturn to Neptune in March and sextile to Jupiter in April further suggest that this may be a period of transition but it is not an unequivocally dark one.

By July Uranus reaches its square to the Australian Saturn, which might lead to sudden changes in government policies, which given the mixed picture for August take a while to fully register their effects.

In September Jupiter conjoins the country’s Pluto and opposes Uranus. As we’ve mentioned, this is likely to have an impact on the country’s commodity industry. The combination of this together with the conjunction of Pluto and the Australian Saturn, which repeats in October, probably means major changes within this industry.

Stability in the currency seems to continue though. Saturn trines Neptune and sextiles Jupiter, and Neptune sextiles the progressed Sun. Together this implies not much change in either direction.

As mentioned Pluto conjoins the country’s Saturn in October. Saturn conjoins the country’s progressed MC and opposes the progressed Sun. This suggests that there are some real problems for the government and leadership. Probably because the changes needed ( as indicated by Pluto) are unpopular in some quarters.

The year ends, then, with the Pluto conjunction fully entrenched and the likelihood that the issues with continue int0 2013 as Uranus squares Pluto at a mundane level.

Chart:
Australia Federation. Sydney 1 January 1901 midnight
There is an argument for using the First fleet chart but the fact that it could be claimed that it is only a NSW chart and uncertainty over whether to use a morning or evening time for that chart meant that I selected this one. It may well be the best chart to use for economic events anyway.

Australian Dollar
The authority to run its own currency was given to Australia at the same time as the Federation was created. I am therefore using the same chart for both.

Friday, 20 February 2009

Venezuela: 2009-2012


Maintaining my art theme as an introduction to each topic is proving harder than I anticipated. There is no shortage of great art, but great art that reflects a nation's scenery is another matter. Where it exists it is almost certainly not by a local artist; people just don’t seem to want to paint their back yard. This week was not exception, there were plenty of great local artists painting something else altogether; the picture of Angel falls is my compromise.

Why Venezuela?
Returning to the real matter in hand, astrology, I have noticed that my timing for choosing countries for analysis is even better than my astrological predictions.

Why this might be we will save for a more philosophical post next week. But, to maintain the trend, Venezuela, this week, has proved a topical choice. Not only has there been a bank run on the Stanford Bank in Caracas following the alleged latest international fraud by Texan Allen Stanford, and a drugs arrest of UK family, but it has been interesting politically. As the Uranus/Saturn opposition squared the progressed Moon which represents the people, Chavez won his bid to change the regulations that limited the length of time he could serve. He could thus, in theory remain in power not just for the duration of this forecast, but potentially until the 2020 of this blog’s title. While I won’t be going into the detail of what this means policy-wise, it is worth bearing in mind as we look at the country; Chavez does not plan to voluntarily relinquish control, so if we see a change of control in the charts we should assume that this will be a time of significant political disruption.

The Venezuelan chart is not as interesting, cycle –wise, as either Brazil or Mexico. Nevertheless there are some points worth noting. Libra rises, Venus rules Libra, the chart seems to suit the country’s name. The MC of the chart is 13 Cancer, the degree of the US Sun, and by virtue of its formation in 1777 it has Pluto at the same degree as the US. Perhaps this helps contribute to Chavez’s antipathy to America, though the signifier of the rhetoric of recent years is likely to be progressed Mercury opposite natal Mars.

My review of the Bolivar will be relatively brief, as, while Venezuela’s oil interests make it politically and economically interesting its currency is much less so. Nevertheless the Bolivar chart I am using doe shave a rather nice Jupiter Uranus conjunction which can’t fail to be activated in the next year or so as the two planets meet at 0 degrees Aries in the cardinal square.

The 2008 eclipses were obviously important for the country, given the impact on oil prices. The 1 August eclipse was square Venezuela’s progressed Sun, the 16th August eclipse was square the country’s progressed Mercury and Mars. The Saturn Uranus opposition picked up a number of planets, and in November the progressed Moon further activated progressed Venus and Mars and trined the Sun. This latter aspect has probably been positive for the leadership.

The eclipses also formed squares with the planets in the Bolivar chart, notably the 16th August eclipse square the Bolivar progressed MC – not a positive sign. Everything is also accentuated in the Bolivar chart at the moment as like other charts we have considered, it has a progressed Sun Mars conjunction

2009
The recent eclipses, picked up the same planets as in August. The six months in between probably saw a trend which may now be starting to change.

March is not especially noteworthy in the country chart. Saturn repeats its aspects of November, and Uranus trines Mars, the latter might spice things up a bit, but not too much. In April Saturn conjoins the country’s Sun again, and will remain in orb until August, suggesting restrictions and difficulties for the government. The Bolivar looks more interesting, with Jupiter conjoining the currency’s Mars this week ( bank run right on schedule then!), and later the progressed Ascendant, suggesting more focus on the currency.

This takes us into the Neptune conjunction of May to July. This quincunxes the Venezuelan natal Neptune and squares the progressed Mercury. This is tricky, though not catastrophic. Uranus also opposes natal Neptune and sextile Pluto. This tends to confirm currency issues that we have identified elsewhere and possibly oil price movements too.

It is not surprising, then, to see that the conjunction makes some major aspects to the Bolivar chart. A square to the progressed Mars/Sun conjunction as well as to the progressed MC and Venus, and a sextile to Neptune. At the same time Uranus sextiles the Mars/Sun and MC as well as the chart’s Uranus/Jupiter conjunction. This suggests some very significant currency movements affecting the Bolivar.

Note, however, that the fact that Saturn trines the Venezuelan Venus/Mars progressed conjunction again by July suggests that Venezuela’s position will not be as bad as some others. The indications are that it is significant though since the progressed Moon squares the conjunction in July.

A relatively benign August and September follow: with Uranus and Saturn making comfortable aspects to the country’s progressed Mercury and its Mars. The Bolivar seems to stabilise as Saturn trines the currency’s Saturn and conjoins the progressed Moon in August, and as Jupiter returns to cross the progressed Ascendant again in September we may backtrack to repeat some of the themes of the period around March.

By October, though Saturn transits the Venezuelan Neptune, a sign of economic weakness and recession. Furthermore there is a notable double whammy: Saturn trines Pluto and Pluto sextiles Saturn. Now trines and sextiles are relatively mild aspects, yet when both Saturn and Pluto are involved there must necessarily be some heavy lifting, restructuring and perhaps more of the Chavez favourite, nationalisations are likely. The progressed Moon carries these aspects through to the end of the year, and the reappearance of the Neptune conjunction. Expect the prevailing themes in April to run right the way to early 2010.

The Bolivar chart looks quite calm from October to December. A Saturn sextile to the Jupiter/Uranus conjunction and trine to the Mars/Sun one keeps big movements in check for a while though the plethora of progressed Moon aspects suggest that currency issues are still under the spotlight.

That is not surprising as December into January sees the repeat of the Neptune conjunction across the world.

2010
In the country chart, while January continues the trends of 2009, February sees Jupiter cross the chart progressed MC, a turning point which also picks up the progressed Mercury, highlighting, trade, exchange and information. Thus, March is characterised by lots of events, commercial, political and leadership-wise. However, these are not especially negative, merely a little frenetic and exuberant. Aspects to Mercury also predominate in the Bolivar chart.

May looks to be a generally positive period. Saturn, trining the Venezuelan progressed Mercury, Pluto and the Moon, imparts stability, while Jupiter and Uranus together encourage change. The only challenge is the Uranus to Uranus opposition, which although accompanied by positive aspects, is probably too much radical change in one go.

As a result June and July are characterised by the need to adjust as Jupiter and Uranus quincunx Saturn. More worrisome though is the Neptune square to the Moon, which suggests a lack of direction economically and much disinformation. There is still a lot of currency focus, with volatility in June, followed by restrictions in July, backing up the trends in the country chart.

The August cardinal cross in the early degrees of the cardinal signs is not highly activated in the Venezuelan chart. Aspects to Venus, the chart ruler, suggest the country is favourably placed though what ever happens at this time. September aspects to the Venezuelan Moon suggest the people are not unhappy with conditions. That could suggest that events point to a commodities issue rather than anything else, although Venezuela’s unique view of capitalism might contribute. The Bolivar chart is almost entirely untouched by the cardinal cross: this is not that surprising, we can expect most of the currency action to have taken place by this time, instead we will have real economic problems to contend with in many places.

September, however, does see quincunxes from Saturn to the progressed Venezuela MC and Sun, suggesting leadership difficulties, and this is accompanied by a notable triple conjunction of progressed Uranus, the progressed Ascendant and progressed Moon. This could be read as a revolutionary aspect- yet the events of the preceding year do not seem to suggest it. A physical event, floods, earthquakes etc might be the explanation. The Bolivar chart still shows relative stability with Saturn still transiting the progressed Moon ( part of a long term aspect).

In the Venezuela chart October though December continue the tricky leadership times, and Jupiter and Uranus again oppose Neptune, and Neptune quincunxes Neptune suggesting economic and currency instability again. In the Bolivar chart Jupiter/Uranus trines Jupiter/Uranus and sextiles the progressed Mars/Sun again- volatile in a good way.


November, however, sees Saturn reintroduce stability via a trine to the Ascendant Moon Uranus conjunction in the country chart and a conjunction with the Ascendant in the Bolivar chart.

In December Saturn crosses the country’s natal Ascendant, which suggests quite severe restrictions of some kind. Again this is reflected in the Bolivar chart with a Saturn square.

The two opposite indicators of instability and restriction look like running in parallel for the last months of the year.

2011
Saturn, in the form of stability and even difficult restrictions, continues to hold sway, stationing on the Venezuelan Ascendant, retrograding back to its trine with the progressed Ascendant and finally retuning to the Ascendant in September of 2011. It was last at this point in 1981, but then it was accompanied by Pluto and Jupiter, so the events of that time will not be repeated in the same way. Still, it could be quite a tough few months. The Bolivar still looks to be subject to quiet heavy trade with Uranus continuing its aspects of late 2010.

Other than the impact of Saturn the early part of the year looks relatively clam, Uranus and Jupiter both make favourable aspects in February and a more mixed March is followed by an April where there are some big events. Jupiter crosses the Descendant and square the MC, throwing focus onto partners and any difficult relationships with them. But Jupiter is also trine Jupiter and sextile the progressed Ascendant Uranus configuration- anything is possible and great strides can be made in new areas and new relationships. As mentioned Saturn is continuing its stabilising influence and Neptune trine Saturn, although not a very constructive aspect will only serve to smooth the edges of any complications. The Uranus trine to Venus is economically and socially enhancing.

In May and June, Jupiter adds another dose of pleasantness in the country chart, sextiling the Moon, and Pluto imparts power through its sextile to the progressed MC. When Jupiter reinforces this in July, it is difficult to see how the country cannot be riding out any global storms very well indeed.

After Saturn returns to hover over the Venezuelan Ascendant and trine Uranus etc in September/October, it moves on to form some more difficult aspects. By December Saturn squares Pluto, suggesting restructuring of a difficult and loss making type. Uranus in square to the Moon together with Jupiter square Venus suggest upsets or protests. Jupiter opposing the country’s Saturn suggests a shake up of traditional values.

The Bolivar chart does not really mirror the country chart at all in 2011.

In February/March in the Bolivar chart Jupiter crosses the Descendant squares the Sun/Saturn/Mercury and opposes the progressed Moon, suggesting the need to re-evaluate the currency within the global marketplace, this is likely to reflect actions being taken elsewhere. In April through to July there is even more activity in the chart. Saturn retrogrades across the Bolivar ascendant and Jupiter squares the Jupiter/Uranus conjunction as it transit Neptune. These aspects look a little like a re-run of late 2010, but the external picture will be looking quite different by now so given that the country chart is looking positive we can assume that what is happening are adjustments to align the currency with that fact.

By September/October a more problematic theme starts to emerge in the currency chart. Saturn and the progressed Moon square Saturn and oppose the progressed Neptune. At the same time transiting Neptune squares the progressed Mars/Sun and MC. With Saturn opposing Neptune we have restraint over inflation but with Neptune square the other planets a tendency towards it. On balance the restriction looks more likely, with the Neptune square manifesting as a lack of trade. The Saturn square to Uranus/Jupiter in November and December further suggests this.

2012
2011 started with a Saturn station on the Ascendant, this year starts with one close to Venezuela’s natal Saturn position. Now a Saturn return is not too big a deal for a country that is over 200 years old as it has one every 30 years or so. Nevertheless it is not something that will ever pass without creating some conditions of hardship or restriction.

Neptune continues to trine Saturn at the same time and together these might contribute to a recessionary phase. Certainly there will be no moving forward with projects or policies.

Pluto also stays close to its sextile with the progressed MC throughout the year, continuing to contribute a feeling of power.

February to April is characterised by a number of minor squares. May sees Jupiter transit the progressed Mars and progressed Venus .Mars would put people in an antagonistic mood but with Venus it is likely to result in something a bit more creative.

The first three months in the Bolivar chart are mixed and unremarkable from a long term perspective. In April Saturn repeats its opposition to Neptune, but this time the aspect is accompanied by Pluto conjoining the IC, the first time since the founding date. This latter aspect is further magnified by Jupiter transiting Pluto in May. The Bolivar has already had a number of incarnations without such an aspect so this could be the beginning of the end of the Bolivar as a separate currency. Perhaps the country will adopt another, although this is unlikely to happen until a few passes of Pluto have occurred.

Jupiter transiting the Mars/Sun conjunction sextile Jupiter/Uranus increases trading activity in the currency in June suggesting increased trade again. But given the Pluto transit mentioned above the most interesting facet of this is that the Mars/Sun conjunction will shortly change signs. This confirms the likelihood of moving to another currency regime within a year or two.

Little new happens in the Bolivar chart for the remainder of the year so developments on this theme are likely to be slow and other economic events will take precedence.

Returning to the country itself, June’s conjunction of Jupiter with the Venezuelan Mercury emphasises the power of communications; the country might want to talk on the global stage more than usual. Jupiter is square the progressed MC though in July suggesting speaking out of turn, an indication reinforced by a Uranus opposition to Mercury – Venezuela might speak but it can’t expect everyone to agree. The people support the attitude though as the progressed Moon transits the MC.

The Saturn return follows, look to 1983-4 for indication of the likely impact, it is square progressed Pluto so could be potentially extremely challenging. And in October Jupiter stations on that Uranus progressed Ascendant configuration, possibly leading to more certain revolutionary behaviour – it is a bit of an anarchistic conjunction to take us to the end of 2012.

Seems it could be all change in both currency and political terms. I don’t think Chavez expects that!

Chart sources


Venezuela: 8 September 1777, 12pm local time San ildefonso, Spain relocated to Caracas, Establishment of the Captaincy of Venezuela by Carlos III, The History of Venezuela, By H. Micheal Tarver, Hollis Micheal Tarver Denova, Julia C. Frederick, Google books
Although independence was not achieved until later, the territories that make up today’s Venezuela were first separately identified as a government region at this time.

Bolivar
Venezolano, 1 January 1872, midnight, Caracas.
The current Bolivar Fuerte is only a year or so old. It replaced the old Bolivar which in turn replaced the Venezolano in 1879. Since there is a direct line connecting all three it is logical to use the oldest. The Venezolano was actually approved on 11 May 1871, but did not become a functioning currency until 1 January 1872 when sufficient amounts were in existence. Since there is a time for 1872 but not 1871 I have chosen to use the 1872 chart.
Wikipedia/wiki/el venezolano

Brazil : 2009-2012


I’ve returned to cathedrals for my Brazilian themed artwork. This time the design of the Brazilia Cathedral, which is stunning. I’m sticking to my art theme as there are only so many pictures of currency notes and central banks that one can take.

Background
The Brazilian chart is set for the year after Mexico’s. Hence the outer planets are in the same place. Only Jupiter has moved by one sign. So the longer term cycles for these countries will be broadly similar. However the medium term effects will be different with all the inner planets and angles individual to each nation.

There have been substantial shifts since Lula da Silva came to power, at a time corresponding to progressed Sun opposite natal sun in the chart. However any advances made since then are being severely challenged by the global situation.

The summer 2008 eclipses made limited aspects to Brazil. It was not one of the countries hit directly by the events of July – Oct. This proved true, Brazil’s high banking reserve requirements due to past crises saved it from the worst of the initial crisis up to the end of September .However it does pick up longer term aspects from Uranus ( to the Mars, Sun progressed conjunction which tend to raise leadership challenges) and a Pluto square.

And sure enough the Uranus Saturn opposition in November seems to have activated the Brazil chart as the impact on the BRIC economies began to be appreciated and the currency and markets fell.

The Real is an interesting curiousity, dating as it does from 1694, the year the Bank of England was founded. Neptune and Jupiter are prominent as in some many currency charts, though in this case Venus trines Saturn, giving the coins at least strength.

Until mid 2008 the Real had been relatively strong, but that all changed later in the year. The 1 st August eclipse conjoined the Mon and quincunx Saturn, not wholly important, but suggesting change was in the offing. The 16th August eclipse conjoined the progressed Moon sextiled the progressed MC and opposed progressed Jupiter, suggesting a turning point.

But as for the country it was Uranus and Saturn that really hit the Real. Uranus conjoined the Real’s progressed Neptune Ascendant conjunction – the bearer of the previous years’ strength.
Subsequently the opposition picked up the Real Sun and Mars, increasingly the trading levels as investors repositioned themselves.

The other noteworthy issue as we look forward is that both the country and the currency are experiencing Mars/Sun conjunctions by progressions. A distinct theme.

2009
The January 26 2009 eclipse made easy trine aspects to the Brazilian Jupiter, the Moon and progressed MC. No problems from that then. The Feb 9th eclipse made almost no aspects except those mentioned from Uranus. There was more action in the Real chart. The 26th January eclipse opposed the Moon and the more recent February one again picked up Jupiter and the MC. Not surprising that the last few months have seen the decline of the Real based on the summer eclipse turning points

In March 2009, Pluto will conjoin Brazil’s Uranus sextile Mars. This is a somewhat revolutionary aspect, but not in a hard way- it suggests sudden change but without the unpleasant effects which often accompany such changes. Pluto also then conjoins Neptune, which merely speaks of the ongoing global events and how they impact the country indirectly.
There is a lot happening in the Real chart too. Uranus conjoins the Real Neptune ( note again the parallels with both the country and currency receiving aspects from the outer planets to Neptune), Neptune opposes progressed Jupiter, Pluto conjoins Saturn and Saturn once again activates the Real Sun and Mars. Looks like more activity in this currency is coming up in the next 2 months.

In April Jupiter will oppose the Brazilian Venus, Uranus will conjoin progressed Mars and Saturn conjoin the natal Sun. This again suggests that the government will face problems and in this case that there may be more active disputes. The Jupiter to Venus aspect suggests money issues. In the Real chart Uranus crosses the progressed Ascendant, sudden changes in value are likely which given the upcoming conjunction is not surprising.

The May- June Neptune conjunction transits the country’s progressed mercury- planet of communication and exchange. Pluto once again conjoins Neptune, suggesting issues of deception being brought to light and the destruction of illusions. The progressed Moon conjoins Pluto. The people are likely to experience some fear over the market situation and how this will affect them at the grass roots level during this period.

During the same period, Uranus picks up a sextile to Venus in the Real chart and also is within orb of a sextile to the progressed Sun, although there is also a square to the progressed MC which is worrying. This is accompanied, however, by the Neptune conjunction continuing to oppose progressed Jupiter and trine the progressed MC. Jupiter is also transiting the natal MC. The indication here is for more big currency movements in the Real, but the picture is mixed about the direction. So far the Neptune opposition has led to selling, but the strength of the conjunction might just reverse that in a big way. That is further indicated by a sextile from Saturn to the Real Jupiter and another between Pluto and the Real progressed Moon.Bet on volatility rather than one direction.

In August the progressed Moon briefly squares the Brazilian Uranus and Neptune in the chart reactivating some of the above. And in the Real chart Saturn opposes the Sun suggesting depreciation although not of such long duration.

In September Saturn reaches its opposition of the Brazilian progressed Sun and Mars: hard graft for the government and with Jupiter opposite Venus, perhaps problems with paying its public servants. October thus has a repeat of the Pluto square and Uranus again conjoining progressed Mars and the potential for disputes and strikes again. November sees a repeat of surprise challenges to the leadership.

In the Real chart, over the same period the Saturn/Uranus opposition is still at work. This time Uranus opposes Saturn and is on the progressed Ascendant/Neptune trine the progressed Venus. This indicates yet more volatility – perhaps it is hard to see where the country is going economically at this time and the Real is reflecting that uncertainty. By October Saturn is trine the progressed Mars/Sun in the Real chart, suggesting continued substantial trading but now in a more rational manner. Though Neptune opposite Jupiter at the same time does not imply any settling down to a long term value.

November and December also see the beginning of a more serious phase. The Pluto Saturn square picks up the Brazilian Pluto square Neptune/Uranus. Although with Saturn trine progressed Jupiter there is usually opportunity for consolidation rather than severe restructuring, the reality is likely to be more of the latter. Still with the progressed Moon sextile progressed MC at the year end, not everyone is unhappy.

In the Real chart, Uranus is still creating valuation surprises, as it transits Neptune, and Neptune in opposition to Jupiter suggests value is quite out of kilter at this time. The effect of the Pluto Saturn square can be felt in the currency too though, as it resonates to the quincunx in the Real natal chart. There may be currency trading restrictions and issues relating to Real debt at the end of the year.

2010
The themes of December continue into the new year. Pluto again transits Brazil’s Uranus, although these are very long term transits and there is no reason to think the effects will be confined to this month alone.

February brings a change of scene as Jupiter crosses the Ascendant in the Brazil chart and Uranus crosses the Real ascendant. This is accompanied by more disputes ( Uranus conjoining the Brazil Mars) and more disinformation ( Neptune conjoining Brazil progressed Mercury). Jupiter however makes a sextile to the Neptune/Uranus conjunction and a trine to Mars, this suggests a liquidity hit. In the Real chart Jupiter sextiles Saturn and progressed Mercury – such liquidity could take the form of hard currency rather than computer bytes.

A brief progressed Venus Moon conjunction in the Brazil chart during March, coupled with a Jupiter sextile to progressed Uranus makes everyone rest on their laurels despite the ongoing restructuring from Saturn opposing Pluto. In the Real chart the impact of the mundane Pluto Saturn square means the picture continues mixed, though a Jupiter conjunction to the progressed Moon seems to mirror the country’s complacency.

Jupiter opposite Brazil’s progressed Sun in April suggests some rather reckless actions by the government, which are likely to escalate in May as Jupiter crosses the progressed Sun/Mars conjunction. In the Real chart Uranus us now trining the progressed Sun Mars too and Jupiter conjoins the Sun and then the Neptune progressed Ascendant conjunction: we are reaching a turning point in the currency valuation.

The months of June to September are characterised by the cardinal cross, that we have discussed many times. In Brazil’s chart, Pluto mainly aspects Uranus, and Jupiter/Uranus quincunx Mars. That suggests real on the streets demonstrations. There is a need for a lot of deep-seated change. However Saturn opposes the Brazilian Pluto but trine Jupiter and sextiles the MC. There is little growth but much positive change for the better with this, setting the country up for a better time later.

In the Real chart we see a conjunction between the progressed Moon and Sun, more indications that a new trend is starting. The Jupiter Uranus conjunction trines the Real’s Pluto, a very powerful force. Saturn trines the progressed Mars/Sun conjunction and Jupiter trines the progressed Pluto. This is a re-evaluation of the Real as big as that in 2009, but this time we are looking at fundamentals rather than fantasy.

In September 2010, Jupiter conjoins the Brazil Pluto, indicating issues regarding debt, but not necessarily bad ones. Yet Saturn squares the Neptune/Uranus conjunction suggesting inertia and lack of technological development.

In the Real chart the progressed Moon is picking up Neptune, reactivating some of the themes from the past 18 months, and the Jupiter Uranus conjunction is again activating the progressed Sun/Mars, the currency looks strong at this time and once again there is much trade.

In October Pluto is again transiting Brazil’s Neptune, while Neptune transits Mercury- more misinformation and uncertainty will ensure. However we do have a stabilising Saturn trine to the country’s Jupiter and the Moon. This won’t make things better but will stop the worst of challenges to policy etc.

In the Real chart Neptune sextiles the MC. Jupiter crosses the progressed Ascendant and makes a sextile to Venus and a square to the progressed MC, as well as a conjunction with the progressed Moon. Saturn sextiles the Moon but squares Saturn This is again a lot of major planetary activity and it does suggest that the speculative element of the Real trading is not dead yet.

November sees Pluto back with the Brazilian Uranus and Mars, a continuation of the theme all the way back to early 2009. Jupiter again transits the progressed Mars Sun conjunction, sending the government into overdrive. Expect rhetoric and takeovers. Jupiter conjoining the Real Neptune once again suggests a lot of speculation or inflationary activity However Pluto is now conjunct Saturn again suggesting more concrete fundamental government action regarding the currency.

Indeed Saturn opposite the Brazilian progressed Venus in December probably makes for a short period of financial hardship –perhaps confiscation or restrictions on withdrawals etc. It is certainly another key moment currency wise as the Uranus Jupiter conjunction transiting the progressed Ascendant is reinforced by the progressed Moon.

2011
Jupiter and Uranus shake up progressed Mars again in January 2011. But Jupiter conjoins Pluto and trines the MC and sextiles progressed Jupiter again ( as in the middle of 2010), Financially that looks quite positive- perhaps debt levels will be a cause for celebration, despite the people chanting for change. In the Real chart Neptune continues to sextile Venus which also suggests things are looking up.

In February and March, Jupiter squares the Brazil Neptune suggesting mistaken speculation or over liquidity. March’s Pluto transit to Neptune again continues the background theme of breaking up the delusions. There is some positive news in Mars though as Jupiter makes a sextile to Brazil’s Jupiter Moon conjunction, bringing a sense of comfort

The Real is definitely showing its stronger side in February, with a repeat of the Jupiter sextile to the progressed Sun/Mars conjunction and a Pluto transit to progressed Mercury. In March Uranus also activates the progressed Sun/Mars again and the progressed Moon, Jupiter sextiles the chart’s Uranus and Saturn trines the progressed Venus. This looks very good and far less out of control than the previous months have been. Things might be settling down

Jupiter conjoins Brazil’s progressed Venus in April but Saturn again opposes it. It’s a mixed sign. A feeling of wealth coupled with a fearing of restriction. With Uranus transiting Pluto and square progressed Jupiter and MC, there are likely to be huge changes in place.

May’s aspects suggest that this is so . Neptune reaches the Brazilian ascendant. And it is on the progressed Descendant. This suggests that there will be an enormous turning point in Brazil’s position relating to partners, and the rest of the world in general. It’s whole image is changing and in the medium term is going to be quite unclear. With Neptune square Jupiter and the MC, we have a fantasy, speculative aspect. It’s a gamble. At the same time Uranus squares Neptune/Uranus and Pluto conjoins Neptune. The key aspects that determined the beginnings of Brazil as an independents state are all coming in to play. This is not just about Brazil this is about the relations between North and South America and Europe too.

The Real looks mixed for April like the country chart. In May the major aspect is a square from Uranus to Saturn which is decidedly upsetting. It might suggest new denomination. The progressed Mars and Sun are now opposite the Real natal Pluto suggesting a complete change,

Curiously, June 2011 shows Jupiter sextiling the Brazil country Ascendant, trining the progressed Ascendant and conjoining the progressed Moon. Later in the month Jupiter trines the Neptune/Uranus conjunction and opposes Mars. All this means that the themes of May continue to be activated but also that they are basically positive for Brazil. In the Real chart Saturn trines the Uranus, calming down the changes of April. There are a number of Jupiter squares in the month but this is likely to be related to practical issues of the currency rather than value.

July and August’s conjunctions between Jupiter and the Brazilian Saturn suggests consolidation in a positive way. September basically continues the theme, with the progressed Moon carrying the baton of the earlier aspects in both the country and Real charts. Although the corresponding Uranus square is extremely disruptive, in the light of the rest of the aspects it can’t be too bad. Other country policies create shocks but the country can withstand them. It is worth noting though, the repeat of the Saturn opposite progressed Venus, which you will recall might suggest monetary restrictions for a short while. The Real chart ( where the mundane Pluto Uranus square is picking up the natal Saturn) shows that people are having to adapt quite dramatically to changes and that there is caution as a result.

October basically continues the events of September but with Uranus square the Brazilian Neptune meaning a element of uncertainty about how changes will play out. It must be ok because in November Jupiter conjoins the progressed Moon trines Uranus and Neptune and the progressed Ascendant again. And in December it sextiles the Ascendant. Whilst there are some quincunxes, we have continued Uranus conjunct Pluto in trine to the MC and sextile progressed Jupiter. Generally a good ending to the year for Brazil as a result of international events.

During this last quarter of the year the Real chart is once again very active. It comes to a head by December when Jupiter Saturn and Uranus are all active. Uranus makes wholly favourable aspects to the progressed Mars/Sun conjunction and Pluto. Saturn makes a mixture with a stabilising sextile to the midheaven but a square with Venus again. Jupiter makes wholly squares to the planets Uranus transits. On balance then the surprises are good, though reactions might be overdone.


2012
The late 2011 Real themes continue in January 2012. In the same month Pluto transits the Brazil progressed Neptune, which would be unsettling if it were not for the fact that it also trines progressed Saturn. Given the benefits from the end of 2011 this looks like continuing policy changes for the long term good.

Jupiter is again replaying some of its positive aspects of earlier months in February, and with Uranus and Pluto nearly in square we are seeing how the global mundane aspects continue their impacts on Brazil in its historical position as part of the greater global trade developments. Jupiter’s repeat conjunction with the Brazilian Saturn intensified by a progressed Moon aspect in March still confirms the stability of the impact in the country.

Jupiter is trine Saturn in the Real chart in February further suggesting stability, although this might be at the expense of value in March when Saturn opposes Venus again.

In March through to July, Neptune again crosses the Brazil Ascendant and squares progressed Jupiter. This just confirms the speculative activity mentioned for mid 2011. More Jupiter positive aspects to Uranus the progressed Moon and the Sun, followed by a sextile from Uranus to the moon Jupiter conjunction and then a sextile of Jupiter to the progressed Sun Mars, suggest that Brazil is still doing well, just no-one knows exactly what the true outcome will be.

There is a repeat of the Pluto conjunction with the Real progressed Saturn in April. But the difficulties associated with this are offset by the Jupiter transit to the Ascendant and its square to the MC. We are seeing more issues relating to the change in the currency which could be tricky, though the aspects in the currency chart do not suggest that is so. Indeed by May the rela chart is showing sextiles from Jupiter to the Sun. Mars and Neptune , which suggests a very positive situation. June is a bit more mixed but still characterised by a Jupiter trine to Venus and sextile to the progressed Ascendant and a Saturn sextile to progressed Jupiter. These should ensure that the Neptune sextile to Saturn is basically experiences as stability rather than weakness and should partially offset the mundane square of Pluto to the Real’s Mercury. Though the latter may create some difficulties on the street.


Neptune, by July, is sextile the Brazil natal Uranus/Neptune conjunction and trine Mars. Neptune/Mars aspects can suggest weakness but the sextile is the least complicated and in this case probably supports the other positive themes. The Real chart has more Jupiter sextiles to key points and so the currency will be well regarded at this time.

August does, however, suggest a shift of emphasis after almost a year of positive news in the country. In the Real chart we might see too much lightening of restrictions as Jupiter transits Uranus. Also Uranus is still making a positive sextile the Brazilian Moon Jupiter conjunction, the people are still happy and in a Brazilian party spirit. But Jupiter reaches the IC, a turning point and squares the Ascendant and progressed Ascendant as well as conjoining progressed Jupiter and sextiling Pluto. This is just too much of a good thing. It looks like Brazil’s finances might just be too good compared to elsewhere. It is a slight warning. Jupiter then trines the Sun and conjoins the progressed MC, more indication of a turning point, but all still with a happy populace that even another Pluto transit to Neptune can’t totally unravel.


September to December continue many of these themes. There are some slight adjustments though. In the Real chart Saturn again conjoins Venus in September, suggesting some restrictions or depression in value again. Saturn is trine the Brazil Ascendant from October and perhaps depressing some of the over inflated expectations – or maybe just bringing some hard headed realism into the picture. It is pointing out the need to watch debt with quincunxes to the country’s Pluto and Jupiter. In the Real chart Neptune and Saturn are in mundane aspect and Saturn squares the progressed Sun/mars and Ploto configuration. This is definitely tricky and the currency might suffer some negative sentiment during this part of the year.

In November Saturn conjoins the Brazil Mars, constraining activity a little but not too much as it is still sextile Uranus and the progressed Ascendant. This is mirrored by a Pluto conjunction to Neptune trine progressed Saturn. Potentially somewhat recessionary, but we can consider that a scaling back might be in order after the last 18 months. Still Jupiter is retrograding over the progressed MC in December, the new patterns won’t embed until 2013.

In the Real chart the end of the year is a bit mixed. Positive conjunctions between Jupiter and the Real Uranus and a Saturn sextile which is a very stable sign are offset by the ongoing effect of the mundane Pluto/Uranus square to the chart’s Saturn which is only really starting to get going. Although the year end’s ok the currency readjustments are taking time.


Chart Sources

Brazil:
Independence declared by ruler. 7 Sep 1922 Sao Paulo. 16.47 local time. Chart from N Campion’s Book of world horoscopes based on a time rectified by Brazilian astrologers.

The Real
Brazil Mint Foundation: 8 March 1694, Salvador Brazil. Based on law issued by Portugal. Chart set for 12pm Lisbon Portugal relocated to Brazil. See casadamoeda.com.br

Another fascination currency history here.
The law of 8 March 1694 answered this request, by determining that gold and silver in Brazil would devalue by 10% over and above the 20% devaluation decided in 1688 by Portugal. It also states that a mint should be opened in the city of Baía so that the provincial currency could be coined there and would only circulate Brazil.
See: WAR, TAXES AND GOLD:THE INHERITANCE OF THE REAL Jorge Braga de Macedo, Faculty of Economics, Nova University at Lisbon; NBER and CEPR Álvaro Ferreira da Silva Faculty of Economics, Nova University at Lisbon Rita Martins de Sousa Institute of Economics and Management, Technical University of Lisbon